Monday, March 18, 2013

Welcome to Bracketville--Bracket Posted Edition

You must remember this: most upsets won’t really be upsets.
The NCAA Tournament is about the only major sporting event in which general interest falls off the closer it gets to the finals. After the first week’s wild times of buzzer-beaters, broken brackets and upsets, casual fans fall away in droves.
Attached is a completed bracket based on the rankings from ESPN’s BPI metric {explained here: }.
Not much different from “Your Mother’s Bracket”---picking each matchup based on seeding.
It will be interesting to see how these turn out.
Tomorrow I’ll do a bracket using the KenPom rankings.

Southern's 2-point defense holds opponents to 40.4 percent shooting from inside the 3-point line. Only Kansas plays better defense from inside 21 feet.
Northwestern State averages 72.9 possessions per game, the most in college basketball.
Is UNLV over seeded at a #5?
It is very difficult to stay hot from beyond the three-point line for three or four games against good defenses. Beware of teams that take a high percentage of threes.
Valpo is the most experienced team in the field. They start five seniors, and their entire rotation consists of upperclassmen.
Not so fast: Florida lost to every Tournament team they played away from Gainesville, except Middle Tennessee State.
One more thing: Arizona doesn’t have a point guard and doesn’t defend the 3 well. Belmont has Kerron Johnson and Ian Clark.
You made it to the end -- celebrate by watching some basketball.

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